Viewpoints: Effortless Poll Creation & Consensus Building

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EA and Manifest

What do you think of the following statements?

160 people have given 2856 responses

Statements with the highest number of 👍 or the highest number of 👎 appear at the top (if everyone thinks 👎, that's consensus too)

There is some internal conflict between more rationalist EAs and more progressive ones

89%
3%
8%

Favoring controversial ideas is not the same as favoring truthseeking.

81%
7%
12%

The manifest guardian article was poorly written

76%
6%
18%

All communities should be representative of the country they are in

4%
73%
24%

The majority of Manifest's sessions and guests were not controversial.

71%
3%
26%

All communities should aim for 50/50 gender representation

10%
70%
20%

As an influential but young event, Manifest's speaker choices shape the forecasting field's growth.

67%
1%
32%

Some of the special guests invited to Manifest held awful views

67%
8%
25%

Inviting controversial speakers risks an "evaporative cooling" effect of reasonable people leaving.

66%
13%
21%

It is good that spaces exist where even ugly or controversial views can be discussed politely

65%
16%
19%

Platforming speakers with racist or eugenic views makes conferences unwelcoming to underrepresented groups

64%
17%
19%

When choosing between optimising for reputation or truthseeking, I pick truthseeking

62%
7%
31%

Test

60%
20%
20%

EA should not run events at rationalist orgs or let rationalist orgs present at EAGs

21%
57%
22%

EA should shun and cut ties with Manifold for the views platformed at Manifest.

22%
57%
21%

When choosing between optimising for a good reputation or truthseeking, I pick a good reputation

12%
57%
32%

Manifold's recent speaker choices have been at least slightly too controversial

55%
22%
23%

Manifest is open to attendees with a broad range of views, which is admirable.

54%
18%
28%

Manifest organizers have shown poor judgment in weighing tradeoffs around controversial speakers.

53%
21%
26%

I personally don't want to be associated with manifest, if they are going to have guests like this

47%
38%
15%

Cutting ties with Manifold over Manifest would constitute an unacceptable purity test.

46%
39%
15%

Manifest organizers adequately addressed concerns around speakers in their public comments.

27%
46%
27%

Manifest was controversial before/without the guardian article

45%
33%
22%

The core organizing team identifies as EA but Manifest is not marketed as an EA event.

44%
13%
43%

About 15-25% of Manifest attendees likely identify as EA.

44%
3%
53%

Conference organisers in any way associated with EA should be more selective about giving a platform to controversial speakers.

43%
37%
19%

Manifold has received substantial funding from EA sources

43%
6%
51%

Hanania has written some thought-provoking articles

42%
18%
39%

Manifest's speaker choices have damaged its ability to attract top forecasting speaker talent.

41%
20%
39%

Manifest's controversies are overblown based on a small number of cherry-picked examples.

34%
41%
25%

Manifest aims to bring together people with opposing views rather than be an echo chamber.

41%
16%
42%

Manifest attendees debating controversial ideas politely is preferable to those debates happening elsewhere.

32%
40%
28%

EA should maintain a clearer separation from the rationalist community in terms of funding and use of event spaces

40%
31%
29%

Manifest's controversies are far too risky to EA's reputation by association.

33%
37%
29%

.Manifest 2024 was overall a great success based on attendee feedback.

37%
8%
55%

If poorly written articles can get EA to consider cutting ties, more such articles will be written

34%
23%
44%

Brian Chau deserves to be invited to events sometimes as a result of his leading an e/acc org

32%
16%
52%

I think seeking a good reputation at the expense of knowing or saying truths will tend to lead to a bad reputation.

31%
21%
49%

Use of offensive/edgy language was common among some attendees at Manifest.

26%
16%
59%

Manifest has not been sponsored by EA funders; funding comes from tickets and sponsorships.

20%
13%
67%